Rookie of the Year is typically one of the more unpredictable awards entering any MLB season. Unlike with most other major sports, top draft picks often toil away in the minor leagues for several years before getting their first action in the show. With service time manipulation and other considerations in play, lots of teams don’t feel too much urgency when it comes to promoting top prospects to the MLB level until they’re ready. This has been a controversial topic in recent years, though some teams have finally started to see the light in that regard. There is an impressive crop of young talent in the majors right now, with several first-year players playing big roles for their respective teams. The MLB Rookie of the Year odds have changed quite a bit since we last discussed the best betting options back in May. Who are the frontrunners and potential value bets to win MLB Rookie of the Year heading into August? MLB betting sites are always updating these odds, which should give you ample opportunity to find value down the stretch of the season. The NL Cy Young Award odds have fluctuated wildly since May. In fact, two players that weren’t even on the board a couple of months ago are now the favorites. Braves teammates Spencer Strider (+170) and Michael Harris (+210) are now playing huge roles for the reigning World Series champions. 먹튀검증 사이트 추천 Strider, who started the season in the bullpen, has seen his NL Rookie of the Year betting odds improve considerably since joining the rotation. In 21 games this season, including 10 starts, the Braves’ fireballing right-hander is 4-3 with a 3.03 ERA. He’s been putting up incredibly impressive strikeout totals, as his 37.9 percent K-rate would be the top mark in all of Major League Baseball among starters if he had enough innings to officially qualify. Strider has three double-digit strikeout games since entering Atlanta’s rotation. If the playoffs started today, Brian Snitker would have no choice but to slot the 23-year-old into the team’s starting rotation, which certainly wasn’t necessarily expected at the beginning of the campaign. We’re still dealing with a fairly small sample of Strider’s work as a starter, but the early results are incredibly encouraging. If he’s able to keep it up, his NL Cy Young odds will only come down from here (+170). Michael Harris (+210) The Braves got Ronald Acuna Jr. back from his knee injury at the end of April, but other injuries and a couple of notable offseason departures left Atlanta a little thin in the outfield. Eddie Rosario went down early with an eye injury, while Jorge Soler and Joc Pederson left the team for greener pastures last winter. PLEASE NOTE: All of that led to the promotion of youngster Michael Harris, who made his big-league debut for the Braves on May 28th. At this point, though, it’s hard to imagine the Braves will decide to send the 21-year-old back to the minors. Harris has taken full advantage of the opportunity, and he’s now Brian Snitker’s everyday starting center fielder. In addition to Gold Glove-caliber defense at one of the most important positions on the field, Harris is slashing .288/.321/.489 with eight homers and 28 runs batted in through his first 51 MLB games. The bat was always going to be the biggest question mark with regard to his ability to stick as a big-leaguer, but he’ll have no problem keeping his jobzone as long as he keeps hitting this well. Position players tend to fare better in Rookie of the Year voting, as well. The Brewers’ Devin Williams is the only NL pitcher to win the award since Jacob deGrom’s triumph in 2014. If you exclude two-way phenom Shohei Ohtani, no full-time pitcher has won AL Rookie of the Year since Michael Fulmer in 2016. As a result, Harris’ +210 Rookie of the Year odds may be a bit more advantageous than Strider’s current +170 number. Seiya Suzuki (+1000) The Cubs’ Seiya Suzuki was actually the favorite with -105 Rookie of the Year odds at the time of our last update. Unfortunately, injuries have thrown a wrench into his case. Chicago’s first-year outfielder has only played in 57 of the team’s 95 games, which makes him a tough sell as a legitimate candidate. He can still make his way back into the race if he stays healthy the rest of the way, but his numbers have taken a hit, as well. Suzuki is currently hitting .273/.354/.455 with seven homers and 28 runs batted in after a hot start. The NL race isn’t quite as top-heavy as the AL version, but I’ll still have a hard time buying Suzuki as a legitimate candidate at the current +1000 Rookie of the Year odds. There’s certainly upside there if he turns things around, but I’m not at all confident in his chances of beating out either of the Braves’ new standouts at this point.
The Mariners’ Julio Rodriguez stole the show at the 2022 MLB All-Star Game. He went toe-to-toe with Juan Soto on his way to the final round of the Home Run Derby after dethroning the reigning two-time winner, Pete Alonso, in the semis. Rodriguez was the only rookie named to either All-Star team, and rightfully so. After failing to hit a single home run until May 1st, the Mariners’ star center fielder has taken off in a big way. J-Rod is hitting .293 with 16 homers, 12 stolen basis, and an on-base average north of .350 since the calendar flipped to May. As of now, it’s hard to imagine Rodriguez not winning this award this season. He’s currently dealing with a wrist injury, but the Mariners don’t believe it’s serious. Assuming Rodriguez stays healthy and continues to produce at a comparable level, he’s going to win American League Rookie of the Year very easily later this fall. 온라인카지노 That’s no sure thing, but it’s hard to justify betting on anybody else with much confidence at this point. Jeremy Pena (+650) Houston’s Jeremy Pena was the +300 favorite in our last AL Rookie of the Year odds update, but he’s fallen by the wayside amid Rodriguez’s rise to the top. Pena is still having an outstanding season in his first as the long-term replacement to Carlos Correa. The 24-year-old is slashing .261/.305/.452 with 14 homers and 36 runs driven in. Pena’s defense has been outstanding at the most crucial defensive position on the infield, as well. Pena is eighth among all big-league shortstops in WAR (2.6), and third among American League players at the position. He’s actually been better than Correa in just about every regard, which is far better than the Astros could’ve possibly expected when they declined to offer Correa a lucrative enough deal to bring him back last winter. In most other years, Pena would be the frontrunner in AL Rookie of the Year odds. With Rodrigeuz having such a tremendous season of his own, however, Pena will likely have to settle for a second-place finish. Bobby Witt Jr. (+1200) Bobby Witt Jr. is another player that would likely be the favorite for this award if he happened to play for a National League outfit. As things stand, though, he’s really an also-ran in the AL ROY conversation. Witt’s another youngster that got off to a ragged start, but we’ve seen glimpses of why he was ranked as baseball’s top minor-league prospect entering 2022. He’s tied with Pena in the home run department (14) with a slash line of .258/.301/.459 through 91 games. Since June 1st, however, his batting average is up to a much more respectable .284. He’s hit eight of his homers and driven in 27 runs in his last 45 games, as well. Witt’s +1200 Rookie of the Year betting odds offer obvious upside if he can continue to progress, but J-Rod is just too far ahead of the field to make any of the alternatives look all that appealing from a futures betting standpoint. Jeremy Pena was one of the few AL rookies to enter the season with lofty expectations. The expectations came entirely because of the man Pena was scheduled to replace in Houston. The Astros let Carlos Correa walk in free agency, in part, due to their belief that Pena was ready to step up and provide comparable contributions from the everyday shortstop spot. It’s early, but that’s looking like a shrewd move thus far. Pena is slashing .276/.339/.514 with six homers, 20 runs batted in, and 18 runs scored for the first-place Astros. He’s also holding down that everyday shortstop post exceedingly well with the glove. Pena’s six defensive runs saved leads all big-league shortstops, and he’s tied for third overall in that category. Carlos Correa on following the Astros. He said he told Jeremy Pena after the World Series he was likely going to take his place his year. READ MORE Correa, meanwhile, is currently on the injured list with worse offensive numbers across the board through 24 games for the Twins. Whether Pena will be able to keep it up is the question. He’s a deserving +300 favorite in 2022 AL Rookie of the Year odds, though he does have a talented field of contenders on his tail. Julio Rodriguez (+380) MLB.com has Seattle’s Julio Rodriguez ranked as its No. 3 prospect in the sport behind only Kansas City’s Bobby Witt Jr. and Baltimore’s Adley Rutschman. The Mariners promoted Rodriguez to the majors at the end of spring training to much fanfare, but the first-year slugger hasn’t enjoyed as much success as Pena has just yet. PLEASE NOTE: Through his first 34 big-league games, Rodriguez is hitting .264/.328/.368. His home run on Sunday in New York was just his second of the season, but he is tied for the big-league lead with 10 stolen bases already. Given his career .331 batting average at the minor league level, though, it’s likely just a matter of time until his bat comes around against big-league pitching. The Mariners believe Rodriguez has superstar potential, but it will likely take a bit of time for the 21-year-old to fully realize it. His tools alone are enough to make him a compelling bet to overtake Pena, which makes Rodriguez’s current +380 MLB Rookie of the Year odds look rather compelling. Joe Ryan (+650) Unlike Pena and Rodriguez, Joe Ryan entered the 2022 season with some major league experience under his belt. Ryan got the call to join the Twins last September. In 26.2 innings of work across five starts for Minnesota last year, the young right-hander went 2-1 with a decent 4.05 ERA. Ryan came to the Twins in the trade that sent veteran slugger Nelson Cruz to Tampa Bay ahead of last year’s deadline. He’s been even more impressive so far this season. In his first seven starts of ’22, Ryan is 4-2 with a tidy 2.39 ERA. Ryan’s control (6.8 percent walks) is very impressive for a 25-year-old, and he posted a career strikeout rate well north of 30 percent in the minors. That hasn’t yet fully translated to the top level (26.5 percent), but the Ks will come. Ryan earned an Opening Day start to begin his first full major league season. Which tells you all you need to know about how excited the Twins are about his future. A full-time pitcher hasn’t won AL Rookie of the Year since Michael Fulmer did so for the Tigers back in 2016. As you can see in his +650 MLB ROTY odds, Ryan is the best bet to do the same this year. Comments are closed.
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